China's automotive diesel engine market has gone through several important time points from the quasi-heavy duty to today's super-heavy stage of more than 10L. Among them: 2003 was the period of intensive heavy-duty diesel engines intensively, displacement was concentrated in 7L; 2005 was the first stage of heavy-duty diesel engines, displacement was more than 8L; 2006 was the second stage of heavy-duty, displacement was 9~10L From the second half of 2008 to the present, diesel engines of more than 10L from major manufacturers began to be launched or mass-produced, and diesel engines for vehicles have entered the period of super-heavy displacement of more than 10L. The characteristic of this period is that, based on 11L, at the same time, it aims at the next displacement range, which is 12~13L.
The large displacement diesel engine market is changing from the Blue Ocean to the Red Sea.
Large displacement diesel engine and complete vehicle supporting status
Since 2008, a number of new 12L and 13L large-displacement diesel engines from various diesel engine plants have been launched one after another, which has led to the formation of large-scale product clusters with over 10L of large displacement engines in China. 13L is only one step away from the last displacement level (15L) that can be developed and produced on a large scale in the automotive diesel engine field. As the displacement continues to increase, the volume of the diesel engine will be too large, which is not conducive to matching the entire vehicle and will not form a large-scale market demand. More than 15L diesel engines generally match only a few special purpose vehicles. The world's most powerful diesel D16G engine launched by Volvo this year has a displacement of only 16L and 700 hp (522kW).
At present, the production of diesel engines above 10L in China and the supporting vehicles are as follows:
Xi'an Cummins ISM 11 series (10.8L) - mainly supporting Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck, SAIC Iveco Hongyan, Beiqi Futian Auman, Anhui Hualing, Jianghuai, Xiamen Golden Dragon, Zhengzhou Yutong and so on.
FAW Jiefang Xichai: CA6DN (12.5L), CA6DM (11L) - mainly supporting FAW Jiefang J6 semi-trailer tractor.
Weichai Power: WD12 (11.6L), WP12 (11.6L) - mainly supporting Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck, Beiqi Foton, FAW Jiefang, SAIC Iveco Hongyan, Bei Ben Heavy Duty Truck and Huanghai Bus.
Shanghai Hino: P11C (10.5L) - Mainly supporting China National Heavy Duty Truck, Beiqi Foton, Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck, SAIC Iveco Hongyan, Hualing, Xiamen Jinlong, Zhengzhou Yutong and Shanghai Huizhong.
Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Engine Factory: Renault DCI11 (11.1L) - Mainly supporting Dongfeng Tianlong and Dongfeng Liuqi.
China National Heavy Duty Truck: D12 (11.6L) - Mainly equipped with China Heavy Duty HOWO series.
Huacai: TCD2015V06 (12L) - the main distribution Beibei heavy steam.
Yuchai: Yuchai YC6K (13L) - still in the loading test phase, is expected to come out at the end of 2009.
Dongfeng Cummins: ISZ (13L) - will be available at the end of 2009 or early 2010, and is expected to be the Dongfeng Tianlong series.
Beiqi Foton: Mercedes-Benz OM457 (11.967L) - joint venture project, trial production of engines by the end of 2011, and production of the entire vehicle in mid-2012. It is expected that the engine will be equipped with Fudan Auman high-end models.
SAIC FIAT Red Rock was the first to introduce Fiat Cursor 9. In the future, it will introduce its 10.3L and 13L diesel engines according to the needs of the market. It can be seen that diesel engines with a large displacement of more than 10L have already spread over almost all mainstream diesel engine companies in China. In addition, the 15L diesel engine developed by Yuchai has been tested for more than 20,000 hours. This model is expected to match ships and construction machinery in advance. It will take at least two years after being used in the automotive sector. At the same time, some engine companies have already started the research and development of 8-cylinder larger displacement diesel engines.
More than 10L diesel engine contrarian rise
The monitoring statistics show that, first of all, the current market demand for diesel engines above 11L is not large. Weichai's WD12 (State II emission standard) series was put into operation for three years. Due to earlier launches, only about 34,000 units were sold in the market with almost no domestic model competitors, and the proportion of supporting construction machinery exceeded 50. % (about 15,000 units that are really used in car accessories). Compared with 9-10L diesel engines, the production and sales volume is very small. The main reason for attracting companies to launch large-displacement diesel engines one after another is that such models have depended on imports in the past and their profits are relatively high. According to statistics, imported diesel engines with a displacement of more than 10L are mainly equipped with high-end tractors and luxury buses for youths, Xiamen Golden Dragon, Yutong, Xiwo, and Zhongtong. These buses are all priced at more than 800,000 yuan. Imported diesel engines have become one of the highlights of these models for advertising and marketing.
Market rate
Secondly, from a market perspective, in April 2009, the sales of semi-trailer trucks in the heavy-duty truck market increased by an average of 35.46% from the previous month, while the models with a total trailer weight of more than 40t had an increase of 81.54% over the previous month. In the average passenger car market, sales of passenger cars with bus lengths greater than 10m and less than 12m increased by 76.13% from the previous month, much higher than the average increase of 4.9%. The demand for super power in the commercial vehicle market is very clear. In the diesel engine market, sales of heavy-duty diesel engines under 10L fell sharply in April this year, and heavy-duty diesel engines sales of Weichai and China National Heavy Duty Trucks all fell by more than 25% from March, while diesel engines above 10L still maintained a very strong growth momentum. This is very noticeable given the continuing financial crisis and the uncertain outlook for heavy vehicles.
Third, having a large displacement of heavy-duty diesel engines is a sign of the company's technical strength. Through the promotion of YC6M, Guangxi Yuchai successfully achieved a transformation from medium-light to heavy-duty. The large-displacement diesel engine is difficult to develop and has a long operating period. If the model reserve is not advanced, the market with the highest profits will be handed over to competitors in the future.
Technical source of ultra-large displacement models
By careful analysis of the technical sources of over 10L diesel engines, it can be seen that on the one hand, the intensity of self-development is increasing. For example, FAW Jiefang Xichai, Weichai, China National Heavy Duty Truck, and Yuchai are all consulting and cooperating with international technology companies and have carried out independent development. The models introduced by some technologies, such as Renault DCI 11 and Deutz TCD2015V06, have also been adapted by the features of Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Engine Plant and Huachai combined with the Chinese market. At the same time, the background of international big groups with more than 10L models is becoming more and more obvious. Cummins and Mercedes-Benz diesel engines are imported from abroad. The project itself is part of their overall international strategy. Even the apparently isolated Shanghai Hino is no longer isolated. With the cooperation of Hino and Guangzhou Auto, the Shanghai Hino will enter the GAC supporting system.
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Large-displacement diesel engine competition pattern
Weichai is the first engine factory to launch a 12L diesel engine. Whether it is the WD12 of the National II emission standard or the WP12 series of the National III emission standard, we have a solid foundation in the market. Especially when its WD12 came out, there was almost no competition and the market responded well. After the State III standard WP12 was shipped, some 12L machines had been put on the market. The WP12 obviously met with strong opponents. The market sales gap with the WD12 was huge, even in the most solid strategic partner Futian Auman, 3 After years, it will also encounter the powerful challenge of Mercedes-Benz OM457 diesel engine. The blocking of the WP12 market is a huge test for Weichai. Weichai's response strategy is to significantly reduce prices and many varieties (such as small-displacement models WP7, WP5), wide series. Weichai hopes "to win more;
Yuchai is the largest diesel engine company in China, but Yuchai's most competitive engines are basically distributed in the medium-power segment. Judging from the sales situation in 2009, due to the national policies that are driven by the supporting agricultural vehicles and low-end light trucks as the main diesel engines, Yuchai’s gains are not as good as those of Quanchai, Laidong, Yunnei, etc. Therefore, Yuchai’s The status quo and the diesel engine market "do not match the development trend of light and heavy ends; the trend is not consistent. As a light machine, the strong sales of low-grade diesel for agricultural use is the result of the financial crisis, which is pulling down the economy, is phased, and will not last long. Yuchai’s biggest move in terms of low power is the upgrade of YC4F model, and it also vigorously studies the diesel engine for passenger vehicles.Only in the current policy environment, the domestic and export prospects of diesel engine cars are not optimistic.Yuchai’s sales of YC6M heavy machinery market are good. Therefore, we resolutely invested heavily in the development of 13L diesel engines. However, Yuchai is independent of the vehicle system, and the installation is much more difficult than Dongfeng Renault, Xichai, and Weichai. Yuchai's YC6M model is in Dongfeng Tianlong. The supporting amount has fallen sharply since 2009. Therefore, the future YC6K, a 13L diesel engine, will be mainly targeted at Jinlong, Yutong, and the Yellow Sea without diesel sources. Waiting for bus companies.
Cummins' ISM11 diesel engine should have been put into production by Dongfeng Cummins. However, as early as in the joint venture between Dongfeng and Nissan, Dongfeng introduced Renault's DCI11 diesel engine, which was produced on the joint venture Dongfeng and Nissan's Dongfeng Limited subsidiary commercial vehicle engine plant. This arrangement highlights the Dongfeng-Nissan-Reynolds relationship. Renault holds a 44.4% stake in Nissan. Nissan holds a 15% stake in Renault. Nissan and Dongfeng each have a 50% stake in a joint venture to form Dongfeng Motor Co., Ltd. the company. Although Cummins increased the introduction of the L series, the displacement was only 8.9L. With the launch of the Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Engine Plant, Dongfeng Cummins’ position in the Dongfeng System has become somewhat subtle and the market has become increasingly severe. In April of this year, the diesel engine output of the Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Engine Plant increased by 71.63% from March, an increase of 33.36% over the same period of last year and a cumulative decrease of 19.98% over the same period of last year. Dongfeng Renault's output exceeded 600 units in April 2009, and its output is the highest in the national III standard diesel engine above 10L. However, Dongfeng Cummins’ diesel production in April was down 7% from March and 52% from the same period of last year, a cumulative decrease of 51% over the same period of last year. The contrast between the production and sales of the two factories is very obvious. After the Cummins ISM11 diesel engine was produced in Xi'an, it was once again constrained by Weichai, the holding company of Shaanxi Zhongqi, and its monthly production was only 100 units.
The liberation of 300 hp (221 kW) and above supported a large number of Weichai WD12 and WP12. This is obviously inconsistent with the status of the liberation industry. Therefore, supporting its own high-power diesel engine has always been a wish to liberate. It can be said that liberating Xichai’s 6DM and 6DN shoulder more arduous tasks. It is expected that Liberation will help J6 models and supporting 6DN and 6DM diesel engines at all costs. Compared with other diesel engines with the same displacement, except for Yuchai's YC6K, the technical strength and reliability of Xichai's models are slightly insufficient.
From the matching relationship, only the 12L diesel engines of Weichai, China National Heavy Duty Truck, Xichai, Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Engine Factory, Huachai, and Xi'an Cummins have relatively stable channels, but even so, their sales are limited. Therefore, Shanghai Hino, Sales of large-displacement diesel engines such as Yuchai will not show significant improvement in at least three years.
The 12L machine market is most expected to be the joint venture between Foton and Mercedes-Benz OM457 diesel engine. Under the current market environment, it is expected that the model will not have much sales in the domestic truck market, but Mercedes-Benz OM457 diesel engine Whether it is to support the domestic luxury passenger cars or the assembly of Auman heavy truck exports, relying on the existing global market network of Futian and Mercedes-Benz, this model with a truly international market significance will have a good performance.
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